2013-02-23

Recruiting #fail: On Recruiting for Proficiency

What follows is a position description received this month from a firm  -- not a recruiter. 

Required Technical Skills:
- Proficiency in all MS Office applications including MS Project
- Front end development (HTML, Flash, Ajax, Javascript - templates)
- Back end development (XML, HTTPS, Web Services, Web dav, data mapping)
- Experience with implementing and managing Demand Ware solutions a plus, Demandware Business Manager, DemandWare UX studio (Eclipse based development environment), DemandWare control center
-Clear understanding of web technologies like Java, DotNet, PHP, Ruby, SQL, MYSQL, MSSQL, HTML 5, Javascript, IIS, Apache, Performance fine tuning techniques, Flash, AJAX, Mobile platform, CRM, Web services, XML
-Understanding of Informatica, SAP, Biztalk is a plus
A piece of work, but not about getting work done.

2012-07-07

Simplistic evangelism or Bush the Elder's "Vision Thing?"

A colleague suggested a TED talk by Simon Simek on "leadership."  Can any talk or book about "leadership "be credible? 

I am suspicious of someone who casually proposes that humans are motivated "by biology not psychology." As if these could be cleanly partitioned off from one another.


I can perhaps overlook that oversimplification.


But most organizations "believe" many things. Concurrence of employee/vendor teams, if it could be measured, would surely cut across many beliefs and ideas. It would be difficult to prove that what motivates people is a directly causative to success of a given enterprise. Being motivated can lead to good as well as bad results. There are good and bad, successful and unsuccessful visions that can be communicated (or mis-communicated) to prospective cult members. Many a startup with great vision, collective commitment, and focus on "why," not just "what" -- will fail to make the cut.


Inspirational, powerful rhetoric is great (and its absence is painful), but show me what Simek in his talk disparagingly refers to as "the 12 point plan," too. A core principle in understanding how people operate, I believe, is the notion that knowledge, and the pursuit of it in an enterprise, is intersubjective. That means, at some level, distrusting not only the expressed beliefs of others, but one's own instincts to believe.


Maybe Simek it simply reiterating what Bush the Elder was said to have commented about "the vision thing." Give it its due, but no more.




2011-06-02

Watson Trickle-Down? Will $100M More Trickle Watson Down to SMB Enterprises?

IBM Watson  logo (via Wikipedia)
Bloomberg News reported that IBM plans to invest an additional $100 million in its Watson technology. Earlier in 2011, Watson exceeded previously unmet expectations for artificial intelligence by easily overwhelming two Jeopardy! champions on national TV. While Watson-like technologies could be used in a variety of settings (e.g., network management or health care), the steep investments IBM has already made suggest that global services giant has its eye on a revenue stream whose major tributaries are large enterprises: Proctor and Gamble, Pfizer, ExxonMobil, JPMorgan Chase. 

IBM has a Tundra truck stuffed with business intelligence, statistics, and analytics tools [SPSS, InfoSphere Streams and Cognos come to mind - ed.] IBM has no product. IBM . . . has an opportunity to charge big bucks to assemble these components into a system that makes customers wheeze, "No one ever got fired for buying IBM."

Promising but out of reach? Few have been fired for asking, "Can we afford IBM?" In a recent Technology Review interview, IBM Analytics head Chid Apte admitted that "This technology will form the basis of a new product we will in the future be able to offer all of IBM's big customers."

The reasons for the anticipated cost are readily apparent. It has been widely reported that Watson took four years to build, runs on around 2,800 Power7 processor cores, has 15 terabytes of main memory, can operate at 80 teraflops (80 trillion operations per second), and employs IBM's SONAS file system with a capacity of 21 terabytes. Watson software components included some familiar open source technologies IBM had already adopted elsewhere, such as Eclipse and Apache Hadoop, but new ground was broken in creating a natural language understanding system tailored to perform in the Jeopardy! question and answer format. The cost for that capability alone was considerable.

IBM believes this revenue stream will be substantial. According to the Bloomberg article, IBM projects $16B from "business analytics and optimization." This estimate is probably not unfounded. A 2011 IBM-sponsored study of 3,000 CIO's reportedly found that 4 out of 5 executives indicated that applying analytics to IT operations was part of their "strategic growth plans." 

But what are the prospects for small and medium sized enterprises (SMB's)? Large data warehouses are not only associated with large enterprises. Small firms - even a one-person consultancy -- can easily amass huge quantities of data, and may be even more highly motivated to make sense of that data. However, they are unlikely to have Watson-scale budgets.

Still, there are a few possible scenarios in which Watson technology could reach SMB's:
  • Cloud-based Watson resources, with cost reductions made possible by scale (a la Google search), could become more widely available 
  • "Watson Light" -- Restricted vocabularies and data sources, possibly sold through IBM partners
  • Bundling of certain Watson components with existing, more affordable IBM products 
  • A la carte offerings, such as the CRM-integrated "Next Best Action" recommender systems envisioned by Forrester's James Kobielus 
  • Industry-specific offerings in which the raw Watson capabilities are harnessed behind the scenes by IBM specialists
The challenge of providing robust hardware and software capabilities to collect, host and access large scale data warehouses using Watson-like technologies is not a near term possibility for smaller enterprises. It should be remembered that existing natural language technologies, such as the highly effective speech recognition technology Microsoft seamlessly integrated into Vista and Windows 7,  have not been widely adopted, even though for many types of human-computer interactions, it is an efficient and easy to use technology. Other obstacles await earlier adopters: problems of data quality, provenance, standardization, consensus building for metadata, and dealing with special scalability problems such as DR and privacy concerns. Early adopters may rely on third party specialists to pull many of the levers.

Nevertheless, some steps can be taken by SMB's to lay a foundation for the Watson Era.
  • Identify the most high-payoff opportunities, then refine enterprise-specific use cases to match
  • Develop canonical, standardized systems for metadata and taxonomies 
  • Leverage existing standards while monitoring current work on evolving standards 
  • Develop small, prototype projects using current technologies to assess where payoffs are likely to be for your organization (e.g., low cost experiments with Hadoop or similar technologies)
  • Include nontraditional sources, such as email, web traffic, internal and external documents and project management artifacts
  • Begin to address data quality and provenance by improving internal processes and assigning metrics (even if initially manual)
  • Plan for scaling out warehouses several orders of magnitude beyond current forecasts 
  • Collaborate with other groups, especially within industry-specific subcommunities 
  • Be on the lookout for template-based "blueprints" that work for industry-specific needs (e.g., subscription-based businesses with periodic renewals, or importers whose margins depend greatly upon shipping costs, etc.)
  • Through internal education, networking, consultants and recruitment, improve staff capabilities and awareness
Watson technologies are a force to be reckoned with. Just when they will make themselves felt in the marketplace is still guesswork, but savvy early adopters will likely seize opportunities that won't be so easy to pluck later in the adoption curve. 

2011-05-11

Use (Corporate Knowledge) or Lose It (To Google)

Danger Sidekick (Image from Wikipedia Commons)
When a firm decides to shutter operations, the loss of knowledge capital in the form of talent should appear somewhere in the risk assessment. While significant short term savings may be achieved by closing a division (in the case of Microsoft, perhaps to save $$$ to purchase Skype?), one side effect can be a brain drain to bonanza to well-heeled competitors. A report from CNN Money today identifies several members of the original Danger (Sidekick) team who are now working at Google's new innovation wing, "Android Hardware":
Hershenson and Brit were part of the trio that founded Danger in 2000. The third partner: Android chief Andy Rubin. The three engineers launched pioneering consumer smartphones, like the once-ubiquitous-among-celebrities T-Mobile Sidekick in 2000. 

Now all three are working for Google, perhaps with added incentive.


"DP, you've got this mostly right, though I think there is a more disturbing back story that goes beyond this one. It's the life cycle of smaller to medium sized technology firms whose founders and investors cash out by selling to a major (usually public) company. Another example that comes to mind is Microsoft's killing off the Sidekick, another neat device paired with an even better cloud service to back it up. What's gone is more than the idea -- seen in its pre-acquisition form, these firms are living, breathing entities, with expert sales and marketing groups, engineers, an idea-makers. Listen up, politicians: THIS is the real "job growth," not stringing fiber into empty office suites and hosting MS Office training classes for the unemployed. Killing off firms like Danger and Pure Digital aborts the creative offspring that their collective intelligence could manifest. A few among them will have cashed out, but most of those 550 workers will be consigned to endure a personal version of the Flip tragedy. Writ large, it's the U.S. version of capitalism shooting itself in the foot just when job growth is needed most. Markets dump capital mainly into mega-firms like Cisco, whose far-flung, unwieldy enterprises are far less efficient at converting that cash into good ideas and jobs" (April 14, 2011).

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